Case Studies

Backtests, not decks.

Each case below ran on real match data over a specific window with a specific engine. Numbers are rounded to two significant figures and labelled as model backtest or paper run — no live-PnL claims unless a client has explicitly opted in.

IMAGE SLOT Cumulative paper edge chart of CRR model vs book pricing across 186 IPL innings 960×540 · alt: "Cumulative paper edge chart of CRR model vs book pricing across 186 IPL innings"

Sports intelligence · Cricket

IPL CRR vs market: a 186-innings ball-by-ball backtest

Backtested the cricket-engine CRR model ball-by-ball over 186 IPL innings against mid-innings book pricing. MAE landed at 0.41 rpo with the model out-edging the book by ~1.8% on fair-price-deviation staking.

MAE 0.41 rpo · +1.8% paper edge over 186 innings
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Backtests, not decks.

IPL CRR vs market: a 186-innings ball-by-ball backtest